Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.535425e-03 0.001699 0.001863 0.002040 0.002225 0.002411 0.002614
2025-01-26 1.268020e-03 0.001510 0.001762 0.002041 0.002340 0.002649 0.002992
2025-02-02 1.061214e-03 0.001361 0.001683 0.002049 0.002450 0.002873 0.003349
2025-02-09 9.434219e-04 0.001294 0.001681 0.002131 0.002633 0.003171 0.003783
2025-02-16 8.499752e-04 0.001244 0.001689 0.002217 0.002816 0.003463 0.004209
2025-02-23 6.714721e-04 0.001076 0.001551 0.002127 0.002793 0.003524 0.004375
2025-03-02 5.382005e-04 0.000949 0.001449 0.002070 0.002800 0.003611 0.004565
2025-03-09 4.432780e-04 0.000860 0.001385 0.002051 0.002845 0.003737 0.004794
2025-03-16 3.722085e-04 0.000795 0.001344 0.002055 0.002913 0.003885 0.005046
2025-03-23 3.342764e-04 0.000771 0.001352 0.002116 0.003047 0.004108 0.005380
2025-03-30 2.874505e-04 0.000728 0.001333 0.002141 0.003135 0.004276 0.005651
2025-04-06 2.426822e-04 0.000683 0.001307 0.002155 0.003208 0.004425 0.005898
2025-04-13 1.775467e-04 0.000600 0.001232 0.002110 0.003218 0.004510 0.006086
2025-04-20 1.347018e-04 0.000547 0.001194 0.002113 0.003286 0.004665 0.006355
2025-04-27 9.987683e-05 0.000500 0.001162 0.002121 0.003360 0.004827 0.006634
2025-05-04 8.598906e-05 0.000494 0.001187 0.002206 0.003529 0.005102 0.007045
2025-05-11 7.438398e-05 0.000489 0.001216 0.002294 0.003702 0.005382 0.007461
2025-05-18 3.676786e-05 0.000405 0.001115 0.002202 0.003646 0.005386 0.007553
2025-05-25 1.514304e-05 0.000343 0.001042 0.002144 0.003630 0.005435 0.007695
2025-06-01 4.757555e-06 0.000301 0.000998 0.002125 0.003661 0.005539 0.007903
2025-06-08 5.800616e-07 0.000272 0.000972 0.002129 0.003721 0.005679 0.008150
2025-06-15 1.953275e-09 0.000265 0.000986 0.002191 0.003858 0.005912 0.008509
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000246 0.000976 0.002217 0.003945 0.006083 0.008794